By Landon Smith

Nitto ATP Finals 2020 Men's Singles Group Odds Preview, Prediction and Picks

The 2020 ATP Tour season concludes in London at the Nitto ATP Finals, Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal fight for the title alongside rookies Andrey Rublev and Diego Schwartzman.

2020 Nitto ATP Finals

Group Tokyo 1970
Group London 2020

Date: Nov 15-22, 2020
Location: London, ENG

 

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*This article was updated on November 14th, 2020*

The 2020 ATP Tour season concludes in London at the Nitto ATP Finals. This will be the last edition of the tournament to be held at the O2 Arena, as the ATP Finals will take place in Turin in 2021.

Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal fight for the title alongside rookies Andrey Rublev and Diego Schwartzman.

With Dominic Thiem, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev also in the mix, the ATP Finals will look to finish at an all time high after a year influenced by COVID-19.

The tournament is divided into the group of Tokyo 1970 and the group of London 2020.

Group Tokyo 1970

Novak Djokovic in the fight for a sixth final title as he is five times champion of the ATP Finals, but his last triumph was five years ago . The Serbian is in a difficult group, with Daniil Medvedev, Alexander Zverev and Diego Schwartzman.

Djokovic wants to match Roger Federer with more end-of-year championships, Federer has six. Djokovic had missed a golden opportunity to accomplish the feat in 2018, when he lost the league game to Zverev.

Daniil Medvedev hasn't made many appearances in 2020 due to a string of premature departures, but he won the Paris Masters last week to save a difficult season. The Russian's lack of matches could also work to his advantage in London, as he will be much cooler this time than he was at his tournament debut last year.

Alexander Zverev finished second behind Daniil Medvedev at the 2020 Rolex Paris Masters

It will be the fourth time in a row that Alexander Zverev will participate in the season-ending event. This is his first time as a Slam finalist, Zverev reached the title match at the US Open earlier this year.

Schwartmzan is considered a lightweight by many experts, but the Argentine has performed well on indoor courts this year. Schwartzman finished second against Zverev in Cologne, and followed that result with a quarter-final loss to Medvedev at the Paris Masters.

In this group the favorites to go to the semifinals would be Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev.

Group London 2020

Rafael Nadal has never won the season-ending tournament since his debut in 2005. But the Spaniard has come close to winning the title on several occasions, having finished second behind Roger Federer in 2010 and Novak Djokovic in 2013.

After winning Roland Garros last month, Nadal returned to the French capital for the Paris Masters, but lost to Zverev in the semi-finals, Nadal knows his quest to win his first year-end league title is far from over.

Nadal leads Stefanos Tsitsipas and Andrey Rublev 5-1 and 1-0 respectively in heads-up, and his toughest test in the group could be against world number 3 Dominic Thiem.

Nadal enjoys a 9-5 lead over the Austrian, but the duo have never met on a hard indoor court.

Dominic Thiem recently proved that he can compete on hard courts, after winning an ATP Masters 1000 title on the surface of Indian Wells. He also scored a major win against Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic on his way to the final of the 2019 season finale event, where he lost in a very close encounter with Stefanos Tsitsipas.

In addition to his 5-9 record against Nadal, the 27-year-old leads Tsitsipas 4-3 head-to-head while tied 2-2 with Rublev.

By beating Thiem in the Nitto ATP Finals Championship game last year, Stefanos Tsitsipas joined Alex Corretja and Grigor Dimitrov as the only players to win the title on their debut. But the Greek has had a very uneven season in 2020 compared to last year.

Tsitsipas edged Thiem by a narrow 4-3 head-to-head margin and drew 2-2 with Rublev. The world number 7 showed some physical discomfort during his loss to Ugo Humbert at the Paris Masters, so his physical form can be questioned.

Andrey Rublev will debut at the end of the year tournament. The Russian made the top 100 less than two years ago, but thanks to his hard work and dedication he has become a solid top 10.

Rublev won five titles in 2020 and has been in sublime form down the stretch of the season. After winning his first ATP 500 title in Hamburg, the 23-year-old has won back-to-back titles on the indoor courts of St. Petersburg and Vienna.

Rublev leads Nadal 1-0 heads-up and is tied 2-2 with Thiem and Tsitsipas in their respective encounters with the two.

The world number 8 is not an obvious favorite to reach the semifinals in London given his inexperience, but perhaps he could benefit if Thiem and Tsitsipas suffer from physical problems.

In this group the favorites to go to the semifinals would be Rafael Nadal, Andrey Rublev.

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By Landon Smith, on 16 Nov 2020, at 4:18p ET