PreviewMatchupProps
Valencia
2-1-1
+226
+123
Chelsea
2-1-1
Wed, Nov 27 - 12:55p ET   |   TNT   |   Mestalla
By Landon Smith

Valencia CF vs Chelsea FC Champions League Free Predictions & Experts

Valencia CF vs Chelsea FC Champions League Free Predictions & Experts

 

Betting Odds & Stats
ValenciaAccording to Betonline
Chelsea
+226Draw / +276+123
+226 (-106)Spread+123 (-110)
Over 3 (+105)TotalUnder 3 (-125)
ValenciaConcensusChelsea
0%Spread0%
Over 100%TotalUnder 0%
ValenciaScore and statChelsea
1.2Predicted Score1.9
2-1-1Stats/Additional2-1-1

 

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Valencia +226

Despite their deficiencies at the back Albert Celades’ team remain a tough nut to crack at home however, losing only one of the nine competitive games they have contested at the Mestalla since the summer.

It’s also interesting to note that over 2.5 goals were scored with both teams registering in four of the club’s last six matches on home turf, and with Chelsea’s high-goal per game averages also considered, we think that combination market is priced generously this week.

Los Ches’ last UCL home game yielded a 4-1 win, with Valencia trailing at half-time and not equalising until after the hour mark. Going back to November 2012, that stands as the last of Valencia’s six most recent UCL home wins. All of these saw both teams score, while the first two match goals were equally distributed on four occasions.

Key Player: Ferrán Torres has scored beyond the 89th minute (and last) in Valencia’s last two competitive home wins

Ferrán Torres Valencia Key Player
MatchesGoalsAssistsMin Played
41-88%

 

Bet at 5dimes

 

Chelsea +123

Under Lampard, Chelsea have showed plenty of attacking verve on the road, though their commitment to pushing men forward often leaves them looking a little exposed at the other end.

As a result, the Blues’ last eight away games in all competitions averaged 4.125 goals per 90 minutes, with over 2.5 goals notched and both teams scoring in seven of those contests. We expect Chelsea’s latest assignment on Wednesday to follow along similar lines.

Each of Chelsea’s four UCL outings this term have seen them separated from their opponents by a margin of under 1.5 goals. The away side on the day has opened the scoring on each occasion, going on to win three times, with Chelsea scoring the decisive winner beyond the 75th minute in their two away wins within that sequence.

Key Player: Willian has averaged 1.0 goals per-match across Chelsea’s last three UCL away wins.

Willian Chelsea Key Player
MatchesGoalsAssistsMin Played
41-92%

 

Extra Points
Valencia lost just one out of nine home matches this term.
Valencia kept just one clean sheet in their last 10 games.
Chelsea’s last eight away matches in all competitions averaged 4.125 goals per game
Valencia and Chelsea have seven Group H points each after four games.

 

The Pick: Draw +276, Under 3

 

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