Borussia Dortmund vs F.C. Internazionale UEFA Champions League Free Picks
|Betting Odds & Stats|
|+100 (100)||Spread||+275 (-120)|
|Over 2.5 (-120)||Total||Under 2.5 (100)|
|Borussia Dortmund||Score and stat||F.C. Internazionale|
Reason for Borussia Dortmund vs Internazionale
|Borussia Dortmund +100|
Dortmund are in with a shot of winning the Bundesliga once again, although there are plenty of sides who are in the running as Bayern Munich struggle. While the hosts will want to make sure they’re in a position to take advantage, the stakes are too high here for them to prioritise the league right now. Dortmund need to turn things around in this group, so this is a must-win game.
Borussia Dortmund have won just once in five UEFA Champions League (UCL) matches. The first goal may be crucial here, as five of Dortmund’s last seven UCL matches won/lost with a clean sheet have seen the victor on the day win both halves.
Dortmund’s last five UCL home games have also seen at least one team draw a blank. Every one of those matches yielded under 1.5 first-half goals, and an average of just 0.2 first-half goals per match across the whole sequence.
Jadon Sancho has been out of favour for Borussia Dortmund over the last month and may have to settle for a place on the bench here. Thorgan Hazard and Achraf Hakimi have done well in his absence and will continue on the flanks here.
Dortmund aren’t a side who tend to see high-scoring matches in this competition. The hosts haven’t seen any of their last 11 Champions League matches finish with both teams scoring. At home, the German side have four clean sheets in five Champions League matches, which has us backing them to edge this one on Tuesday.
Key Player: Raphaël Guerreiro was at the double for Dortmund beyond the hour mark in his team’s last UCL home win.
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Inter Milan are a side who have already turned their focus to domestic affairs. With a chance to unseat Juventus in Serie A, the Nerazzurri are making no secret of the league being their focus. They have made changes for Champions League matches, while they don’t exactly have the experience of this competition other sides can boast.
Inter’s 2-0 victory in matchday three’s reverse encounter was the club’s first UCL win in over a year. It was also their second successive UCL outing to see them lead 1-0 at half-time, and the third in succession to see the home side on the day score exactly once beyond the 80th minute.
Inter come into this one with four defeats in five trips in this competition. The Nerazzurri have lost their last three away group games in the Champions League, while Dortmund’s recent record here is quite solid. They have produced clean sheets against Monaco, Atletico and Barcelona, while we think they will claim three points in this big showdown for second.
Danilo D'Ambrosio, Stefano Sensi and Alexis Sanchez will continue to miss out for Inter when they head to Germany to face Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday. Nicolò Barella is one booking away from a one-match ban in the Champions League.
Key Player: Inter’s Lautaro Martínez has opened the scoring in his last two UCL appearances, doing so inside the opening half-hour each time.
|The Pick: Borussia Dortmund -100, Under 2.5|