PreviewMatchupProps
Alavés
3-2-5
+400
-125
Atletico Madrid
5-4-1
Tue, Oct 29 - 2:00p ET   |   beIN SPORTS   |   Mendizorroza
By Landon Smith

Spain La Liga: Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Free Picks

Spain La Liga: Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Free Picks

The first of the midweek games in La Liga comes from Mendizorrotza. It sees an Alaves side that is currently hovering just above the relegation zone take on Atletico Madrid who are hoping to put together the kind of winning streak that would confirm they are firmly on the right track after a summer of change in the red and white half of the capital.

 

Betting Odds & Stats
AlavesLinesAtletico Madrid
+400Opening Odds-125
+400 (105)Spread-125 (-125)
Over 2 (-108)TotalUnder 2 (-112)
AlavesConcensusAtletico Madrid
0%Spread0%
Over 0%TotalUnder 0%
AlavesScore and statAtletico Madrid
0.4Predicted Score1.7
3-2-5Stats/Additional5-4-1

 

Alaves +400

Alaves have scored an average of one goal per game at Mendizorroza but this is the most proficient back line they will encounter all season, so it’s easy to think that the visitors can shut them out. Aiming to complete a run of three consecutive home wins in La Liga (LL) for the first time in over a year, Alaves have kept a clean sheet in all but one of their five home league matches this campaign. Unsurprisingly then, they possess the LL home table’s best defensive record, after conceding 0.2 goals per home fixture to date.

A clear positive for Alaves is that they have been strong at Mendizorroza so far this season; Babazorros have won their last two outings here 2-0 against Celta Vigo and Mallorca, taking their home points tally to ten from five matches.

Alaves is ranked on the 8th place in the standings with 55 points, 41 goals scored and 43 goals received in the last 38 leaguegames. They have failed to win 11 of their last 38 matches in La Liga.

Lucas Pérez Alaves Key Player
MatchesGoalsAssistsMin Played
114168%
Notes: Lucas Pérez has scored exactly one goal after the break in each of Alaves’ last four LL games

 

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Atletico Madrid -125

Diego Simeone may consider some rotation here in the middle of a busy stint in the season. He opted to start with Angel Correa in attack at the weekend but Diego Costa may be in line for a recall here. Alaves aren’t likely to tinker too much with the formula that has delivered results at home this term but they will need a big improvement on their showing in a heavy defeat at Villarreal on Friday night.

Atleti are of course a team well renowned for their efficiency and for just doing enough in the majority of their games. Indeed, stretching back to the start of the 2018/19 season, they have only won four La Liga fixtures by more than a two goal margin. Two of those successes came against Huesca who were relegated last term, and the other two came against this week’s opponents Alaves.

Diego Simeone’s side cruised to 3-0 and 0-4 victories in both meetings last season, results which are likely to be fresh in the memory for Alaves going into this Matchday 11 clash. And if the apprehension based on recent meetings wasn’t enough, Alaves have to deal with this stern Atleti team and a quick turnaround following a 4-1 hiding against Villarreal at Estadio de la Ceramica on Friday night.

Ath Madrid are ranked on the 3rd place in the standings with 78 points, 70 goals scored and 27 goals received this season in La Liga.In their last match they won against Ath Bilbao.

Diego Costa Atletico Madrid Key Player
MatchesGoalsAssistsMin Played
82188%
Notes: Diego Costa has scored two LL goals for Atlético this season, with all being first-half openers

 

Extra Points
Asier Garitano has no additional injury concerns after the LaLiga weekend.
Felipe and Mario Hermoso will start at centre-back, with Josema Gimenez confirmed out until November.
Ximo Navarro is expected to get the nod at right-back ahead of Martin Aguirregabiria.
Joao Felix is expected to return to fitness in several weeks after spraining his ankle.

 

The Pick: Atletico Madrid -125, Over 2