PreviewMatchupProps
Atletico Madrid
4-1-1
+136
+189
4-2-0
Sat, Sep 28 - 3:00p ET   |   beIN SPORTS   |   Wanda Metropolitano
By Landon Smith

Atletico Madrid 4-1-1 vs Real Madrid 4-2-0 La Liga Derby Free Picks

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid predictions for this Saturday’s big derby clash in Spain’s La Liga with 2nd place at stake.

The Madrid Derby has been a low-scoring affair in recent years, with four of the last five La Liga (LL) clashes producing under 2.5 goals. As such, the opening goal is typically crucial, with Atlético Madrid last scoring the opener, and subsequently winning a top-flight derby, back in February 2016 (D4, L2 since).

Betting Odds

Atletico MadridLinesReal Madrid
4-1-1Stats4-2-0
+136Opening Odds+189
-0.25 (-141)
Spread
+0.25 (+113)
Over 2.5TotalUnder 2.5
+230Draw+230
%Consensus%
1.7Predicted Scores0.9

Atletico Madrid +136

Atlético Madrid will host Real Madrid on Saturday night at the Wanda Metropolitano stadium as Los Colchoneros look to build on their most recent result- their 2-0 win over Mallorca on Wednesday. Cholo Simeone’s side was, as always, solid at the back and opened the scoring through Diego Costa in the 26th minute after the striker headed home an easy cross.

Atleti kept pushing for a 2nd goal for the rest of the half but found no luck in their end product. Mallorca gave the Madrid outfit a scare early on in the latter 45 minutes before João Félix’s deflected shot ended up in the back of the net to seal his sides’ win with just under 30 minutes to go.

Despite not giving off the impression that they’re league leaders, Real Madrid currently sits in 1st place after enjoying a positive start to the season. Atletico have also been in Champions League action this season - opening their campaign with a 2-2 draw at home to Juventus on September 18. Bayer Leverkusen and Lokomotiv Moscow are also in the same section, and therefore it would be a surprise if Los Rojiblancos did not make it to the round of 16.

In terms of the league, Atletico will travel to Real Valladolid and host Valencia in their two matches either side of the October international break, before finishing the month with games at home to Athletic Bilbao and away to Alaves. Simeone will see the fixture list as winnable, but there are some potential banana skins.

It will be the first meeting between Atletico and Real Madrid since the former recorded a stunning 7-3 win during their preparations for the 2019-20 campaign. There was little meaning to the game aside from the embarrassment, but Atletico were far superior during that pre-season clash.

Ath Madrid is ranked on the 3rd place in the standings with 78 points, 70 goals scored and 27 goals received in the last 38 leaguegames.

 

 

  João Félix
  Atletico Madrid Key Player

MatchesGoalsAssistsMin Played
72186%
Note: João Félix netted in Atlético’s midweek win over Mallorca – his side (club and country) have won the last 19 games in which he’s found the net.

 

Bet This Match
Draw No Bet: Real Madrid +105BET HERE
Atlético Madrid to record a shutout win: YES +275BET HERE

Real Madrid+189

Real Madrid travelled to Sevilla last weekend under pressure to pick up a big result and one certainly arrived as they recorded a 1-0 win courtesy of a second-half header from Karim Benzema. It was a huge result in the context of the season, and there is no question that it would have boosted the confidence of the players.

Zidane made wholesale changes for Wednesday's clash with Osasuna, which was a risk considering that the capital outfit have not exactly blown teams away this season. Los Blancos put in a strong performance, though, and goals from Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo Goes secured three important points.

The victory over Osasuna moved Real Madrid to the top of the table, and the European giants will now be looking to make it four straight La Liga victories when they travel to the Wanda Metropolitano for unquestionably one of their toughest matches of the season.

In terms of what is ahead, the capital giants will host Club Brugge in their next Champions League game on October 1, before welcoming Granada and travelling to Mallorca either side of the international break.

Eden Hazard is yet to really ignite at the Bernabeu but injuries have certainly played a part. The Belgium international was left out against Osasuna with the view to making his mark against Atletico, though, and the visitors will need their big-money arrival to impress if they are to pick up a big result this weekend.

Real Madrid are ranked on the 1st place in the standings with 93 points, 106 goals scored and 41 goals received this season in La Liga.In their last match they won against Malaga.

 

 

  Karim Benzema
  Real Madrid Key Player

MatchesGoalsAssistsMin Played
75183%
Note: Real’s Karim Benzema has netted the match opener in all four LL games he’s scored in this term.

The Picks: Draw +230, Over 2.5

 

Atletico Madrid vs Real MadridExtra Points
Atlético Madrid are undefeated at home since February, winning 10 of their last 13 games at home.
Real Madrid have scored at least once away from home in 7 of their previous 8 outings.
Atleti’s last win at home over Real was in their Champions League clash back in May 2017.