By Landon Smith

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Tottenham Hotspur EPL Match Preview / Betting Odds

Brighton vs Tottenham Hotspur predictions for Saturday’s Premier League match at the Amex Stadium.

Betting Odds

Tottenham Hotspur Lines Brighton & Hove Albion
-108 Opening Odds +316
-108 (-110) Spread +316 (-110)
Over 2.5 (-130) Total Under 2.5 (110)
Tottenham Hotspur Concensus Brighton & Hove Albion
49% Spread 51%
Over 58% Total Under 42%
Tottenham Hotspur Score and stat Brighton & Hove Albion
2.0 Predicted Score 0.8
3-2-2 Stats 1-3-3

Brighton & Hove Albion +316

Yet to taste victory against Tottenham in league or cup football this century (D1, L5), Brighton and Hove Albion continue pursuing their maiden Premier League (PL) home win of 2019/20 (D2, L1). With each of those three results coming against clubs who finished in the bottom 11 of 2018/19, the ‘Seagulls’ look primed for a heavy defeat.

Overall, Brighton have found just two goals at home, with both coming after half-time. Despite the Seagulls’ poor recent form at home, they did secure points from six of ten PL home fixtures as a home outsider last season (W4, D2, L4).

Brighton are six top-flight games without a win since their eye-catching 3-0 triumph at Watford on the opening day. That result provoked great optimism on the South Coast but one goal in their last four league outings outlines a familiar problem for the Seagulls.

Graham Potter has completely reversed Albion's playing style to a possession-based game but that has not yielded a more consistent return of goals than Chris Hughton's more direct approach. A tally of five goals in seven matches is better than only the bottom two.

It appears as though 16th-place Brighton are in for another tough season battling relegation unless summer signing Neal Maupay can rediscover the form that saw him bang in 25 goals for Brentford last season, otherwise the burden falls back on 36-year-old Glenn Murray.

What kept Hughton's Brighton away from serious danger was their home results, particularly against those sides around them in the table, but Potter has yet to register a win at The Amex Stadium whose visitors this year have been West Ham United, Southampton and Burnley.

Last Brighton line-up: Ryan, Dunk, Webster, Montoya, Burn, Stephens, Bissouma, Gross, Mooy, Maupay, Alzate.

Brighton will have Solly March back from a thigh injury but will hand a late fitness test to Davy Propper, due to a hamstring issue.

Shane Duffy (calf), Bernardo (knock), Leandro Trossard (groin) and Jose Izquierdo (knee) remain sidelined for the Seagulls, but Leon Balogun is available following a minor injury.



  Neal Maupay
  Brighton & Hove Albion Key Player

Matches Goals Assists Min Played
8 2 - 73%
Note: After 25 goals last season, Brighton’s Neal Maupay has settled into top-flight life with two goals in seven appearances.


Bet This Match
Team to Kickoff: Brighton -101 BET HERE
First Goal Scorer: Harry Kane (TOT) +275 BET HERE

Tottenham Hotspur -108

Tottenham have been in poor form and they were humiliated midweek in the Champions League by Bayern Munich. Tottenham lost 7-2 at home with fans leaving the stadium early in embarrassment.

The pressure is building on the manager and the players don’t seem to want to be at the club. As it currently stands, Tottenham are 6th on the Premier League ladder but considering their recent form, things are only looking down.

The Tottenham defense looked very poor during the loss to Bayern Munich as they allowed the German side to have 19 shots with 10 shots on target. Tottenham looked down following their loss in the Champions League and it will be tough for the team to turn things around so quickly. 

Spurs remain poor travellers, having now failed to win any of their last nine PL fixtures on the road (D2, L7). They have failed to keep a clean sheet throughout that sequence, whilst just two of their last 22 PL away games have ended level.

The visitors’ issues come from an inability to hold a lead (as evidenced again in their stunning 2-7 loss to Bayern on Tuesday), and just two victories from four opening goals have contributed to Mauricio Pochettino’s equal-worst start to a PL season as Spurs manager. On that note, both teams have scored in all three of Tottenham’s away PL fixtures so far.

The Premier League table does not reflect Tottenham's true troubles as three points on Saturday could lift them as high as third, which is where many expected them to finish this season, and some still do although with no feasible chance of keeping up with the top two.

While many of his colleagues have dipped in form, Harry Kane remains as consistent as ever with 11 goals in as many games for club and country this season, and reports have claimed that Spurs fear losing their talisman if they do not turn their fortunes around soon.

Last Tottenham line-up: Lloris, Rose, Alderweireld, Vertonghen, Aurier, Winks, Sissoko, Alli, NDombele, Son, Kane.

Tottenham are likely to play Moussa Sissoko at right-back in place of the suspended Aurier. Midfielder Giovani Lo Celso (hip) and winger Ryan Sessegnon (hamstring) are still injured.



  Harry Kane
  Tottenham Hotspur Key Player

Matches Goals Assists Min Played
8 5 1 99%
Note: Tottenham talisman Harry Kane has scored in three of his last four PL/cup starts against Brighton, with two of those goals being scored on the road.

The Picks: Tottenham Hotspur -108, Over 2.5


Brighton & Hove Albion vs Tottenham Hotspur Extra Points
Brighton are winless in all four of their Premier League meetings with Spurs (W0 D1 L3), losing both matches last season.
Spurs haven’t lost against Brighton since April 1983 when they were beaten 2-1 in a top-flight fixture – they’ve won five and drawn one of six matches against the Seagulls in all competitions since then.
Brighton haven’t led for a single minute in any of their four Premier League matches against Spurs, with their two goals both coming in matches when they were trailing.
Brighton have lost just one of their last 19 league matches in October (W10 D8 L1), losing 2-0 away at Arsenal in 2017.
Starting with a 1-2 defeat to Burnley on February 23rd 2019, Tottenham Hotspur have won just 22 points in their last 19 Premier League matches. 12 teams have won more than them in their last 19 matches, including Bournemouth (23) and Newcastle United (25).




By Landon Smith, on 4 Oct 2019, at 2:10p ET