PreviewMatchupProps
SC Freiburg
4-1-1
+421
42%
-147
58%
3-2-1
Sat, Oct 5 - 9:30a ET   |   FOX Sports 2   |   Schwarzwald Stadion
By Landon Smith

Bundesliga Soccer Tips: SC Freiburg +421 vs Borussia Dortmund -147

Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund predictions for this Saturday’s Bundesliga encounter. Dortmund will be aiming to propel themselves back up the table following consecutive Bundesliga draws

Betting Odds & Stats

Borussia DortmundLinesSC Freiburg
-147Opening Odds+421
-147 (113)Spread+421 (-128)
Over 3 (113)TotalUnder 3 (-128)
Borussia DortmundConcensusSC Freiburg
60%Spread40%
Over 99%TotalUnder 1%
Borussia DortmundScore and statSC Freiburg
2.8Predicted Score0.6
3-2-1Stats4-1-1

SC Freiburg +421

This weekend Freiburg face the challenge of Borussia Dortmund. This Saturday’s game will be Freiburg’s biggest test of the 2019/20 Bundesliga season, so far. This game will be their first crack at one of the Bundesliga’s ‘big 3’ sides this season. 

This game will be a meeting between the Bundesliga’s respective 2nd and 4th best attacks this season, Freiburg have scored 13 goals so far this season. Only 3 other teams have scored more than 11 goals thus far. 

Freiburg’s record against Dortmund has historically been very poor. Freiburg haven’t managed to get a win over Dortmund in any of their last 16 meetings. This means that the last time that Freiburg managed to beat Dortmund was the 8th of May, 2010. 

Freiburg’s longest winless streak against Dortmund is their longest versus any Bundesliga side. Considering Freiburg’s poor record versus Dortmund, we feel that Dortmund may still have the edge in this match. 

High-flying Freiburg sit third in the Bundesliga, partly thanks to a three-game unbeaten run (W2, D1). However Christian Streich’s side are winless in their last two home league games, following a win ‘to nil’ here on opening day (W1, D1, L1).

Despite their lofty position, Freiburg have only held the lead for a total of 37 minutes in their matches at the Schwarzwald-Stadion this term. Their home games have started quietly, with no goals arriving within the first 15 minutes, and just 1.0 first-half goals on average per fixture so far.

Freiburg is ranked on the 7th place in the standings with 48 points, 42 goals scored and 60 goals received in the last 34 leagueevents. They have failed to win 14 of their last 34 matches in Bundesliga.In their last match they lost against Bayern Munich.

 

  Luca Waldschmidt
  SC Freiburg Key Player

MatchesGoalsAssistsMin Played
710-95%
Note: Freiburg have won all three Bundesliga games that Luca Waldschmidt has scored in this term.

 

Bet This Match
Highest scoring half: Second Half -115BET HERE
Will there be a sending off (Red Card)?: YES +400BET HERE

Borussia Dortmund -147

Visiting Borussia Dortmund have seen their last two league games finish 2-2, and have registered a balanced sequence of results from their opening three Bundesliga away matches (W1, D1, L1), including a goal difference of zero (GF6, GA6).

Their last away game was the first in which they have scored the opening goal on the road this league campaign, and so it’s unsurprising that they have failed to lead at half-time away from home so far.

However they remain free-scoring on the road, netting in six consecutive Bundesliga road trips. In five of those matches they scored at least twice, and across this period scored an average of 2.33 goals per match.

Mats Hummels was sorely missed in the 2-2 home draw against Werder Bremen, but the defensive rock should return provided he comes through the Champions League trip unscathed. Striker Paco Alcácer did not travel in midweek and is doubtful with an Achilles problem so Mario Götze or Julian Brandt may play in a more advanced role.

Dortmund are ranked on the 3rd place in the standings with 64 points, 72 goals scored and 40 goals received this season in Bundesliga.In their last match they won against Werder Bremen. Dortmund is in a good form before this match with Freiburg.

 

  Achraf Hakimi
  Borussia Dortmund Key Player

MatchesGoalsAssistsMin Played
711100%
Note: Dortmund defender Achraf Hakimi scored twice midweek in Europe and has three competitive goals this season, and five this calendar year. Two of his last three came from the 85th minute onwards.

 

Bet This Match
Correct Score: 2-0 -1H +400BET HERE
Alternate Corners: Over 14 Corners +300BET HERE

The Picks: Borussia Dortmund -147, Under 3

 

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Extra Points
Freiburg are without a victory in each of their last 16 Bundesliga matches against Borussia Dortmund (D2 in 2017/18, otherwise 14 wins for BVB). This is Freiburg’s longest current winless streak against any BL side.
Dortmund have not had a longer undefeated run against any other Bundesliga side than their current run against Freiburg (also 16 matches between 1992 and 2007 against Nürnberg). BVB could set a new club record when they travel to face Freiburg on MD7.
Freiburg are enjoying their best-ever start to a season after taking 13 points from their first six Bundesliga matches. Previously, they had never managed more than 10 points during this timeframe (1994/95).
BVB have won just one of their last four Bundesliga matches: 4-0 against Leverkusen (otherwise D2, L1). Dortmund have taken just five of a possible 12 points on offer.
combined. BVB have only kept a clean sheet once this season: on MD4 against Leverkusen (4-0).