Borussia Dortmund
5-2-2
+393
-149
Manchester City
8-1-0
Wed, Apr 14 - 3:00p ET   |   PAR+   |   Signal Iduna Park
By Landon Smith

Borussia Dortmund vs Manchester City UEFA Champions League Preview and Picks 4/14/21

Borussia Dortmund Will Try to Get a Win When Meet Manchester City from Signal-Iduna-Park (Dortmund) - UEFA Champions League Soccer Match Preview and Prediction Game on Wednesday, April 14, 2021.

Preview, Odds and Picks

Borussia Dortmund +393

At 2-1 in the first leg, Borussia Dortmund must win by zero or more than 2 goals to reach the semi-finals of the UEFA Champions League (UCL) in 90 minutes. However, he will have to go back to April 2014 to find his last UCL knockout win against another team in one of Europe's top five leagues to earn a 2+ goal margin and / or a clean sheet.

That said, Dortmund are unbeaten in eight UCL home games (five wins, three draws), going 1-0 in 20 minutes in two of the last four wins in that streak. However, two consecutive draws form the tail of this set, in which the rival scored his first goal of the game through a penalty awarded between minutes 61 and 75.

 

Manchester City -149

Aiming for their first European trophy in more than half a century, Manchester City are in pole position to reach their second UCL semi-final in five years. The elected English champions have to be confident as they recorded just one loss in their last 19 UCL matches (W15, D3, L1) and scored a spectacular late winner in the first leg of that game.

Impressively, nine (a 60% majority) of the 15 victories were against another team from the five largest European domestic flights on the continent. Meanwhile, City's margin of victory over the three away wins in that streak averaged 2.00 goals. The last two of those away victories saw City open the scoring in the first 30 minutes of clear victories (HT: 1-0).

 

Prediction and Picks

Having drawn at the end of the first leg, Marco Reus is now UCL Dortmund's top scorer with 18 goals - Dortmund's win rate in UCL games when watching him score a goal in the second half is 50% (G4, D2, L2) Minutes later, city dynamo Phil Foden became the youngest Englishman to score a winning goal in the 90th minute in a UCL match.
City have averaged 3.20 goals per game in their last ten UCL victories against another team in one of Europe's top five national leagues.

 

WINNER: Draw @ +325

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By Landon Smith, on 3:00p ET