PreviewMatchupProps
New England Patriots
8-0
-4.5
59%
+4.5
41%
Baltimore Ravens
5-2
Sun, Nov 3 - 8:20p ET   |   NBC   |   M&T Bank Stadium
By Landon Smith

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens Week 9 SNF Sports Odds / NFL Free Parlay Picks

After hardly breaking a sweat in the first half of the season while winning all eight of their games, the New England Patriots figure to get a stern challenge from the Ravens as the two AFC division leaders square off in Baltimore on Sunday Night Foo

On Sunday Night Football, the New England Patriots visit M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland to play the Baltimore Ravens.

Odds Analysis: The Patriots opened as 6.5-point road favorites, but that line has dipped to New England -3.5. The Ravens moneyline opened at +160 and the point total at 46.5 before oddsmakers shaved 2 points off, down to 44.5. The total has gone UNDER in the Patriots’ last four road games, with an average combined score of 35.5.

New England is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games before a bye. The Patriots are 4-2 in their last six games as a road favorite of 3.5 points or less. This will be the first time since October 1, 2017, that Baltimore has been a home dog of 3.5 or fewer points. The Ravens are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games in that situation. More concerning is the fact that the Ravens are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games.

 

Betting Odds & Stats
New England PatriotsLinesBaltimore Ravens
-160Opening Odds+140
-3 (-110)Spread+3 (-110)
Over 45 (-110)TotalUnder 45 (-110)
New England PatriotsConcensusBaltimore Ravens
59%Spread41%
Over 56%TotalUnder 44%
New England PatriotsScore and statBaltimore Ravens
21.8Predicted Score20.2
8-0 (6-2 ATS)Stats/Additional5-2 (2-4-1 ATS)

 

New England Patriots -3

The wheel keeps on rolling for the Patriots, who had little trouble disposing of the Cleveland Browns 27-13 last Sunday at home in a rain-soaked affair that also marked coach Bill Belichick's 300th career victory when including the playoffs. New England forced turnovers on three consecutive plays in the first quarter, highlighted by Dont'a Hightower's 26-yard fumble return, to grab a 17-0 lead in the first 13:13 of the contest.

Jackson has taken a very good Baltimore team over the top into serious contenders to make a long postseason run. He has been an efficient passer, completing 136-of-215 passes for 1,650 yards and 11 touchdowns against just five interceptions.

His ability to avoid a sack, complete passes efficiently, and scramble and run for chunks of yards at a time give the Ravens a chance against a New England defense that has been lights out through eight games this season.

New England leads the league with 19 interceptions and 31 sacks, including five last week, but its run defense showed some cracks by allowing the Cleveland Browns to rush for 159 yards in the 27-13 victory. Tom Brady ended his interception streak at four games last week, throwing for 259 yards and tossing a pair of scoring passes to Julian Edelman, who has 32 receptions over the past four games and has been the one constant in what has been a revolving door at wide receiver.

T. Brady New England Patriots Quarterback
YdsComp %Y/ATD/IntRate
2251 64.72 7.313/4 95.0

 

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Baltimore Ravens +3

The Ravens went into the bye week with plenty of good vibes from the dual-threat skills of Jackson and some opportunistic plays by the defense. While Jackson has professed an occasional dislike of running the ball, there is little questioning his effectiveness doing so as he recorded his third 100-yard game of the season after totaling 116 and a touchdown versus the Seahawks.

Lamar Jackson leads Baltimore with 1,650 yards passing, 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. The leading rusher for the Ravens is Jackson with 576 yards and three touchdowns. Mark Andrews is the leading receiver for Baltimore with 449 yards and three touchdowns. Patrick Onwuasor leads all Baltimore defenders with 30 tackles.

Jackson threw for a season-low 143 yards in a 30-16 victory at Seattle on Oct. 20 but he ran for 116 yards and a touchdown -- his third 100-yard game of the season -- to boost his team-leading total to 576. Running back Mark Ingram has rushed for 470 yards and seven scores while Mark Andrews has a team-high 36 receptions and is one of three tight ends that have combined for 62 catches.

L. Jackson Baltimore Ravens Quarterback
YdsComp %Y/ATD/IntRate
1650 63.26 7.711/5 94.1

 

Extra Points
New England will be going with its third different kicker this season after signing Nick Folk and waiving Mike Nugent.
Jackson is the first quarterback to rush for 100 yards and a touchdown in consecutive games.
The Patriots are 8-1 in the last nine regular-season meetings, but Baltimore posted a pair of playoff victories at New England in that span.

 

The Pick: New England Patriots -3, Under 45