Miami Dolphins
9-5-0 (4-2-0 V)
-2.5
61%
+2.5
39%
Las Vegas Raiders
7-7-0 (2-5-0 H)
Sat, Dec 26 - 8:15p ET   |   NFL Network   |   Allegiant Stadium
By Landon Smith

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders NFL Football Week 16 Odds, Preview, Prediction and Picks

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, Betting Tips and Preview of the match for the NFL Football Week 16 Game on Saturday December 26th, 2020.

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders Key Players

#1 Tua Tagovailoa MIA
1359 YDS | 9.0 TD | 2.0 INT

#4 Derek Carr LV
3396 YDS | 24 TD | 7.0 INT

Preview

Miami has won nine of the last 11 in the series since losing to the Raiders in the playoffs after the 2000 season.

The Dolphins can clinch an AFC wild card spot if they win their last two games. The Dolphins are assured of a winning season for the second time since 2008. They have now won eight of their last 10 games.

Last year, the Dolphins allowed 30.9 points per game, the worst in the NFL. This season they are allowing 18.4 per game, the lowest average in the league. They kept their opponents touchdown free in three games, including last week.

The Dolphins have something to wear in 20 straight games, the longest active streak in the NFL. Miami CB Xavien Howard leads the league with nine interceptions, over nine teams, and is tied for second in passes defended with 17.

Miami has allowed 16 TDs after allowing 39 last year. ... The Dolphins are tied for fifth-best point differential in the league at over 95 despite being outscored by 426 yards. ... The Dolphins lead the league in takes to go (26) and third-down defensive conversion (33%).

Tua Tagovailoa is 5-2 as Miami's starting quarterback, but 51 players have a longer finish than his longest 35-yard finish. Last week the Dolphins rushed for 250 yards, their highest total since 2016. Salvon Ahmed became their first 100-yard rushing back in 32 games. He was one of six rookie starters on offense, the most for any team in a game in two years.

Miami's Jason Sanders made 28 of his first 29 field goal attempts this year, but in the past two weeks he's been 2-for-4, missing from 45 and 52 yards. The Raiders have lost four of five after a 6-3 start and will be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss or victory for the Ravens.

Las Vegas coach Jon Gruden's .377 winning percentage in December is the sixth worst among 81 coaches in the Super Bowl era with at least 25 games in December. The Raiders are 2-5 at home in their first season in Las Vegas and can tie a franchise record for home losses in a season with a sixth.

Las Vegas has allowed eight TDs in the opponents' last 17 possessions that did not include a kneel. Quarterback Marcus Mariota made his Raiders debut last week after starter Derek Carr was injured. He became the first non-starter since at least 1948 to throw at least 200 yards (226) and a TD, and run for at least 50 yards (88) and a TD. Carr hopes to start over this week.

Las Vegas RB Josh Jacobs had 26 carries for 76 yards last week, marking the eighth time a Raiders running back was limited to less than 3 yards per carry with at least 25 attempts. Raiders DE Maxx Crosby has gone a five-game run in a row without a sack.

Fantasy Tip: Las Vegas Pro Bowl TE Darren Waller has received at least 150 yards in two of the past three weeks. His 425 receiving yards in the past three weeks is the most ever for a TE in a three-game span.

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Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction

Carr was eliminated from the early game against the Chargers, propelling Mariota into action. So far this week, Carr has been limited and that is something that will have to be monitored in the future. It could be active, but it may not start. The Dolphins found a way to survive without some of their top receiving options last week as they hit the ball on the ground. Miami could follow a similar game plan in this one as the Raiders struggle on the defensive side of the ball.

 

WINNER: Miami Dolphins @ -3.0

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By Landon Smith, on 8:15p ET