Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears Week 10 NFL Expert Predictions / Football Picks
The Bears and Lions have failed to meet expectations through the first half of the season, and now square off with their seasons essentially on the line.
Odds Analysis: The Bears opened as 3-point favorites, a combination of being at home and having the vastly superior defense in what should be a tightly contested divisional game. As both teams are desperate for a win, the total opened at a modest 44, but the early action has been on the UNDER, as the total has already shifted to 42.5.
|Betting Odds & Stats|
|Detroit Lions||Lines||Chicago Bears|
|+2.5 (-110)||Spread||-2.5 (-110)|
|Over 41.5 (-110)||Total||Under 41.5 (-110)|
|Detroit Lions||Concensus||Chicago Bears|
|Over 59%||Total||Under 41%|
|Detroit Lions||Score and stat||Chicago Bears|
|3-4-1 (4-4 ATS)||Stats/Additional||3-5 (2-6 ATS)|
|Detroit Lions +2.5|
Detroit started off the season in impressive fashion, earning a tie on the road at Arizona, then returning home to knock off the Chargers. The season continued to look positive for the Lions when they beat Philadelphia on the road the following week to jump to 2-0-1 and Detroit looked like a team ready to compete for the NFC North title.
Detroit had their struggles defensively on the road against the Raiders and it ended up costing them another contest, continuing a season-long trend. Fourth-quarter meltdowns have been an issue for the Lions this season as they’ve let a lead slip through their fingers in three different games this season. Detroit opened the season with a 27-27 tie with the Cardinals in a game they led 24-6 in the opening minute of the fourth quarter.
Chicago native Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones Jr. each reeled in a touchdown pass last Sunday to give the duo 13 scoring catches, tied with Tampa Bay's Mike Evans and Chris Godwin for the most among tandems this season. The 26-year-old Golladay, whose seven touchdown receptions are tied with Evans for the league lead. What hasn't been fun is Detroit's defense, which has been gashed for at least 400 yards in five of eight games this season and surrendered at least 20 points in each contest since Week 2.
|M. Stafford Detroit Lions Quarterback|
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|Chicago Bears -2.5|
It sets up an interesting matchup with the Bears considering that they only rank better than two teams in the NFL in yards. In fact, Stafford has passed for almost 400 more yards than the Bears have gained as a team this year. Chicago is also averaging just 17.8 points per game, also among the worst in the NFL. That offense is led by quarterback Mitch Trubisky, who has passed for 1,217 yards and just five touchdowns. David Montgomery has been the leader out of the backfield, rushing for 50.8 yards per game and five touchdowns.
The Bears opened the season with a 10-3 home loss to the Packers in the first game of the NFL campaign on a Thursday night and things haven’t gotten a whole lot better since. Chicago bounced back with a last-second win on the road over Denver (16-14) before rolling over Washington (31-15) on Monday Night Football and shutting down Minnesota (16-6) at home to reach the quarter pole 3-1.
Since then, it’s been all downhill: the Bears lost to Oakland (24-21) in London before the bye: coming out of the bye, they were drubbed 36-25 at home by the Saints in a game that wasn’t as close as the final score indicated.
While Trubisky has experienced regression in his third season, rookie David Montgomery appears to have overcome a slow start and is headed in the right direction after rushing for his first multi-touchdown performance of his career. Speedy running back Tarik Cohen has gone nowhere fast this season, although he has rushed for a touchdown in each of his last two home games versus Detroit.
Allen Robinson looks to rebound from a one-catch, six-yard performance when he faces Detroit's 30th-ranked pass defense. The 6-foot-2, 220-pound wideout has three touchdowns in as many career games against the Lions, including two scores in a six-reception, 133-yard effort in the last home outing.
|M. Trubisky Chicago Bears Quarterback|
|The Bears won both meetings last season after the Lions won nine of the previous 10.|
|Detroit's J.D. McKissic has 13 receptions, the most of any running back on the team despite playing half as many snaps as the injured Kerryon Johnson.|
|Stafford has thrown for 4,471 yards and 28 touchdowns in 18 career games against Chicago.|
|The Pick: Detroit Lions +2.5, Over 41.5|