PreviewMatchupProps
Atlanta Falcons
1-7
+13
40%
-13
60%
New Orleans Saints
7-1
Sun, Nov 10 - 1:00p ET   |   FOX   |   Mercedes-Benz Superdome
By Landon Smith

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Week 10 Sunday NFL Betting Trends / Football Predictions

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Week 10 Sunday NFL Betting Trends / Football Predictions

The rough start to the season is about to get rougher for the Atlanta Falcons, who travel to face the red-hot New Orleans Saints on Sunday.

Odds Analysis: The Saints are on a six-game win streak, the offense looked even better in Week 8 with Drew Brees back and they’re at home against a 1-7 Falcons team — all that adds up to New Orleans opening as a 12-point favorite. The total opened high at 51 points, as the Falcons struggle to stop anyone, while both teams have dangerous aerial attacks.

 

Betting Odds & Stats
Atlanta FalconsLinesNew Orleans Saints
+500Opening Odds-700
+13.5 (-110)Spread-13.5 (-110)
Over 51 (-110)TotalUnder 51 (-110)
Atlanta FalconsConcensusNew Orleans Saints
38%Spread62%
Over 59%TotalUnder 41%
Atlanta FalconsScore and statNew Orleans Saints
8.1Predicted Score42.9
1-7 (2-6 ATS)Stats/Additional7-1 (6-2 ATS)

 

Atlanta Falcons +13.5

A bye week is the only thing separating the Falcons from six consecutive losses, including a recent 20-27 defeat at the hands of the Seattle Seahawks. They’ll head on the road to take on arguably the most complete team in the NFL. With quarterback Drew Brees back behind center, the Saints steamrolled the Arizona Cardinals in a 31-9 Week 8 victory.

The Falcons defense will their hands full when Drew Brees steps on the field.  The Falcons defense is 2nd to last in points allowed this season(31.8).  The Falcons also rank 28th in passing yds allowed, giving up an average of 274 per game. 

Atlanta is also coming off a bye following a 27-20 loss to Seattle in Week 8. Matt Ryan is expected to be back in the lineup after missing the Seahawks game, but Matt Schaub guided the Falcons to season highs for total yards (510) and passing yards (441).

Atlanta’s defense has played better the past two weeks, holding the Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks to fewer than 400 total yards, but have forced only one turnover in their past six games while committing nine turnovers during that stretch.

Matt Ryan has thrown for 2,170 yards, 15 touchdowns and eight interceptions for Atlanta. The leading rusher for the Falcons is Devonta Freeman with 333 yards, while Julio Jones leads in receiving with 712 yards and four touchdowns. De’Vondre Campbell leads the Falcons in tackles with 70.

Falcons are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Falcons are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games

M. Ryan Atlanta Falcons Quarterback
YdsComp %Y/ATD/IntRate
2170 70.88 7.615/8 98.7

 

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New Orleans Saints -13.5

New Orleans had a bye in Week 9 and defeated the Arizona Cardinals 31-9 during Week 8. The win improved the Saints to 7-1 and marked the return of Drew Brees at quarterback. Brees threw for 373 yards, three touchdowns and one interception, while Michael Thomas has 11 receptions for 112 yards and one touchdown. The win was New Orleans’ sixth straight.

Brees was sharp in his return, completing 34-of-43 passes for 373 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Regardless of who has been at quarterback, Michael Thomas has been the focal point of the offense, leading the league in receptions (73) and receiving yards (875). The Saints have not allowed 100 rushing yards in their last five games and haven’t given up more than 235 passing yards during that stretch.

Jared Cook and Alvin Kamara have both been dealing with injuries and are questionable to play.  The Saints defense has been pretty solid this year, allowing only 21 points per game.  The Saints have won 6 in a row.

New Orleans have a top-10 defensive unit paired with a high-flying offense led by one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time. Despite missing most of the season, Brees returned a week ago and carved up the Cardinals’ secondary for 373 passing yards and three touchdowns.

Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams in the NFC. Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on field turf. Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Saints are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a bye week.

T. Bridgewater New Orleans Saints Quarterback
YdsComp %Y/ATD/IntRate
1370 67.69 7.09/2 98.9

 

Extra Points
Brees has passed for 8,224 yards and 53 touchdowns against the Falcons, his highest totals against any opponent.
Thomas has 394 career receptions and needs seven to surpass Jarvis Landry for the most by a player in his first four seasons.
Ryan has averaged 315.3 passing yards with 16 touchdowns and four interceptions in his last nine games at New Orleans.

 

The Pick: New Orleans Saints -13.5, Over 51