PreviewMatchupProps
LSU Tigers
8-0
+6
25%
-6
75%
Alabama Crimson Tide
8-0
Sat, Nov 9 - 3:30p ET   |   CBS   |   Bryant-Denny Stadium
By Landon Smith

#2 Louisiana State Tigers vs #3 Alabama Crimson Tide Week 11 Football Expert Picks / NCAA Predictions

The big-time SEC showdown arrives when top-ranked Alabama hosts second-ranked LSU on Saturday.

 

Betting Odds & Stats
#2 Louisiana State TigersLines#3 Alabama Crimson Tide
+180Opening Odds-220
+6 (-110)Spread-6 (-110)
Over 62.5 (-110)TotalUnder 62.5 (-110)
LSU TigersConcensusAlabama Crimson Tide
60%Spread40%
Over 46%TotalUnder 54%
LSU TigersScore and statAlabama Crimson Tide
40.6Predicted Score42.0
8-0 (5-2-1 ATS)Stats/Additional8-0 (4-4 ATS)

 

Reason for #2 Louisiana State Tigers vs #3 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAA Football Picks

#2 Louisiana State Tigers +6

In the win over Auburn, LSU quarterback Joe Burrow was 32 of 41 for 321 yds and touchdown.  Burrow also threw one interception in the game, while also adding a rushing touchdown. LSU running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire had a dominating game out of the backfield, rushing for 136 yds on 26 carries and a score.  LSU out gained Auburn in the game, 508 to 287.  The Tigers rushed for a total of 187 yds on 46 attempts.  

Burrow is fueling an attack averaging 46.8 points per game and has completed more than 70 percent of his passes in each game and thrown four or more touchdown passes on five occasions. The Tigers have solid receivers with junior Justin Jefferson (55 receptions, 819 yards and nine scores), sophomore Ja'Marr Chase (43 for 749, nine TDs) and sophomore Terrace Marshall Jr. (22 for 333, seven) combining for 25 scoring catches.

Freshman cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. has a team-best four interceptions and junior linebacker Jacob Phillips has recorded a team-high 64 tackles for a unit allowing 20 points per game. LSU (8-0, 4-0 West) had no such grave injury concerns, but the week off may have been most beneficial to sophomore wide receiver Terrace Marshall. He made his return after a five-game absence due to a foot injury in LSU's 23-20 win over Auburn on Oct. 26 and had two catches for 29 yards and a touchdown.

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#3 Alabama Crimson Tide -6

Crimson Tide was guided by quarterback Mac Jones.  Jones was 18 of 22 for 235 yds and three for 3 touchdowns.  Najee Harris contributed 86 yds rushing on 13 carries and 2 touchdowns.  Jerry Jeudy added 7 receptions for 103 yds and 2 touchdowns in the blowout victory.

Sophomore Mac Jones filled in for Tagovailoa two Saturdays ago against Arkansas and completed 18-of-22 passes for 235 yards and two touchdowns. The Crimson Tide continue to make good use of their three star junior wideouts Jerry Jeudy has 52 receptions for 682 yards and eight touchdowns, DeVonta Smith has 43 catches for 721 yards and nine scores, and Henry Ruggs III has 26 for 513 and six touchdowns.

Alabama rolled up 576 yards of offense to LSU's 196 and held the Tigers to 12 rushing yards. Burrow completed 18 of 35 passes for 184 yards and was picked off once while Tagovailoa had 295 yards passing. Three of Alabama's eight wins during this current run have been by shutout, including a 21-0 victory in the 2012 BCS Championship game that started the streak.

 

The Pick: #2 Louisiana State Tigers +6, Under 62.5